Chaque jour, des nouvelles sur l'évolution des prix de votre mazout de chauffage
Chaque jour, des nouvelles sur l'évolution des prix de votre mazout de chauffage
Les bourses pétrolières sont maintenant impatientes de voir comment l’OPEP évalue l’évolution de l’offre et de la demande dans son rapport mensuel actuel.
Avec son rapport mensuel actuel cet après-midi, l’OPEP publiera non seulement ses prévisions sur l’offre et la demande, mais aussi les données de production d’avril. Les acteurs du marché ne regarderont pas seulement la production de pétrole brut de l’OPEP dans son ensemble, mais surtout les volumes de production de l’Irak, le deuxième producteur de pétrole de l’organisation ayant toujours dépassé la limite supérieure convenue avec les autres partenaires de l’alliance OPEP+ au cours des trois premiers mois de l’année.
Compte tenu de tous les efforts qui ont été déployés pour compenser les volumes excédentaires, il semble également peu probable que l’OPEP et ses partenaires assouplissent leurs réductions précédentes au deuxième trimestre.
Aux États-Unis, la production de pétrole dans les sept principales régions de pétrole de schiste devrait continuer à augmenter vers la fin du trimestre en cours.
Actuellement, le Brent et le WTI se négocient près des sommets de lundi, tandis que Gasoil a un peu plus de marge de manœuvre pour respirer jusqu’au sommet de la veille. D’un point de vue purement mathématique, il existe actuellement un léger potentiel de réduction des prix intérieurs, en particulier en ce qui concerne les prix de l’enquête d’hier après-midi.
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 67.1 | 83.5 | 91.8 | 83.8 | 92.3 | 70.7 | 98.6 | 127.6 | 103.8 |
1 | 67.1 | 83.5 | 91.8 | 83.8 | 92.3 | 70.7 | 98.6 | 127.6 | 103.8 |
2 | 67.1 | 84.4 | 91.5 | 83.6 | 93.6 | 70.7 | 104.9 | 128.2 | 103.3 |
3 | 66.2 | 83.1 | 92.5 | 85.3 | 93.6 | 71.3 | 98.4 | 121.8 | 104.8 |
4 | 66.6 | 82.4 | 92 | 85.8 | 93.6 | 69.8 | 99.2 | 121.1 | 104.2 |
5 | 66.4 | 82.6 | 92 | 85.8 | 92.6 | 71.1 | 100.9 | 120.7 | 104.2 |
6 | 64.2 | 82.6 | 92 | 86.5 | 90.7 | 71.4 | 101.4 | 120.7 | 104.2 |
7 | 64.3 | 82.6 | 91.7 | 86.6 | 91.8 | 71.6 | 101.4 | 120.7 | 104.4 |
8 | 62.4 | 82.5 | 91.8 | 87.1 | 89.6 | 71.6 | 101.4 | 121.6 | 104.2 |
9 | 62.4 | 81.4 | 92.5 | 87.7 | 89.3 | 71.6 | 101.2 | 119.6 | 104.8 |
10 | 62.4 | 80.7 | 92.4 | 90.1 | 89.3 | 72.1 | 101 | 121.7 | 104.8 |
11 | 61.3 | 81.5 | 92.2 | 90.1 | 89.3 | 73.3 | 102.4 | 123.6 | 104.8 |
12 | 61.8 | 82 | 92.2 | 90.1 | 88.6 | 73.3 | 102.8 | 123.9 | 104.8 |
13 | 60.4 | 82 | 92.2 | 88.3 | 87.5 | 73.2 | 103.2 | 123.9 | 105.6 |
14 | 60.7 | 82 | 92.3 | 87.5 | 87.3 | 73.2 | 103.2 | 123.9 | 105 |
15 | 60.7 | 81.7 | 92.1 | 87.9 | 87.1 | 73.2 | 103.2 | 124.1 | 106.6 |
16 | 60.7 | 81.3 | 91.7 | 88.3 | 86.9 | 73.2 | 104 | 123.9 | 106.3 |
17 | 59.3 | 81.2 | 91.6 | 88.7 | 86.9 | 72.6 | 105.3 | 123.8 | 107.2 |
18 | 59.7 | 81 | 90.1 | 88.7 | 86.9 | 72.4 | 104.3 | 121.9 | 106.3 |
19 | 58.2 | 80.7 | 90.1 | 88.7 | 87.3 | 72.7 | 104.7 | 126.3 | 106.3 |
20 | 57.1 | 80.7 | 90.1 | 89.5 | 87.1 | 72.3 | 104.7 | 126.3 | 106.3 |
21 | 59.4 | 80.7 | 90.6 | 89.5 | 86.6 | 71.8 | 104.7 | 126.3 | 106.4 |
22 | 61 | 81.2 | 90.5 | 89.2 | 85.5 | 71.8 | 104.7 | 128.6 | 107.6 |
23 | 61 | 81.4 | 90.5 | 89.5 | 85.6 | 71.8 | 104.4 | 129.6 | 107.5 |
24 | 61 | 81.3 | 90.5 | 89.5 | 85.6 | 71.7 | 103.4 | 126.4 | 107.6 |
25 | 58.5 | 81.1 | 90.3 | 89.5 | 85.6 | 72.1 | 104.3 | 125.9 | 109.4 |
26 | 60.1 | 81.9 | 90.3 | 88.6 | 83.1 | 72.2 | 106.2 | 125.8 | 109.4 |
27 | 62.1 | 81.9 | 90.3 | 88.4 | 82.4 | 72.6 | 106.8 | 125.8 | 109.4 |
28 | 62.9 | 81.9 | 90.4 | 88.1 | 84 | 72.5 | 107.8 | 125.8 | 111.4 |
29 | 62.9 | 81.1 | 89.5 | 89.7 | 82.1 | 72.5 | 107.8 | 122.5 | 110.5 |
30 | 62.9 | 81.1 | 89.5 | 89.8 | 81.7 | 72.5 | 108.4 | 119.6 | 109.6 |
31 | 62.3 | 80.2 | 88.6 | 89.8 | 81.7 | 72.3 | 106.6 | 120.4 | 110.2 |
32 | 61.5 | 81.4 | 88.6 | 89.8 | 81.7 | 73.3 | 107.2 | 115.5 | 107.7 |
33 | 61.8 | 81.3 | 88.6 | 90.9 | 80.3 | 74.9 | 107.6 | 113.6 | 107.7 |
34 | 62.9 | 81.3 | 88.1 | 91.2 | 79.4 | 74.7 | 109.8 | 113.6 | 107.7 |
35 | 62.1 | 81.3 | 87.8 | 91.1 | 79.9 | 75.3 | 109.8 | 113.6 | 107.8 |
36 | 62.1 | 81.1 | 87.7 | 91.1 | 81.3 | 75.3 | 109.8 | 111.8 | 108.9 |
37 | 62.1 | 80 | 86.5 | 90.7 | 81.2 | 75.3 | 112.1 | 113.5 | 110.3 |
38 | 62.1 | 79.6 | 85.5 | 90.7 | 81.2 | 75.7 | 109 | 116.4 | 111.7 |
39 | 61.1 | 80.4 | 85.5 | 90.7 | 81.2 | 76.4 | 108.8 | 117 | 112.9 |
40 | 59.5 | 80.5 | 85.5 | 91.4 | 80.3 | 75.8 | 110.3 | 117.3 | 112.9 |
41 | 58.5 | 80.5 | 84.8 | 91.7 | 79.8 | 75.9 | 110.9 | 117.3 | 112.9 |
42 | 59.9 | 80.5 | 84.7 | 92 | 80.8 | 75.6 | 110.9 | 117.3 | 113.8 |
43 | 59.9 | 81.1 | 83.8 | 92.4 | 81.3 | 75.6 | 110.9 | 116.1 | 114.2 |
44 | 59.9 | 80.7 | 84.9 | 93.8 | 81.9 | 75.6 | 112 | 118.4 | 113.4 |
45 | 61.3 | 81.1 | 84.9 | 93.8 | 81.9 | 77.3 | 110.3 | 118.6 | 110.7 |
46 | 62.8 | 81.1 | 84.9 | 93.8 | 81.9 | 77.4 | 110.5 | 117.5 | 110.9 |
47 | 61.6 | 80.7 | 84.9 | 94.9 | 82.3 | 78.2 | 109.6 | 115 | 110.9 |
48 | 62.3 | 80.7 | 85.4 | 94.8 | 81.5 | 78.7 | 108.4 | 115 | 110.9 |
49 | 63 | 80.7 | 86.1 | 94.2 | 81.7 | 77.7 | 108.4 | 115 | 110.5 |
50 | 63 | 81.1 | 86.2 | 94.7 | 82.6 | 77.7 | 108.4 | 114.8 | 110.8 |
51 | 63 | 81 | 86.3 | 94.8 | 81.9 | 77.7 | 109 | 115 | 108.8 |
52 | 62.1 | 80.9 | 87 | 94.8 | 81.9 | 78.1 | 108.6 | 116.3 | 108.9 |
53 | 62 | 80.7 | 87 | 94.8 | 81.9 | 79.2 | 111.8 | 114.7 | 109.1 |
54 | 60.8 | 80.5 | 87 | 94.8 | 80.6 | 79.8 | 116 | 115.2 | 109.1 |
55 | 61.1 | 80.5 | 87.6 | 93.6 | 80.6 | 80.1 | 114.1 | 115.2 | 109.1 |
56 | 61.1 | 80.5 | 88.4 | 93.9 | 78.1 | 79.3 | 114.1 | 115.2 | 107.9 |
57 | 62.6 | 80.6 | 88 | 94.5 | 75.6 | 79.3 | 114.1 | 118.3 | 109.1 |
58 | 62.6 | 80.1 | 88 | 94.5 | 74.7 | 79.3 | 115.6 | 118.5 | 107.8 |
59 | 63.5 | 80.2 | 86.9 | 95.1 | 74.7 | 79.4 | 122.1 | 119.6 | 106.3 |
60 | 63.5 | 79.6 | 85.5 | 95.1 | 76 | 77.9 | 129.4 | 121.2 | 108.4 |
61 | 63.7 | 79 | 85.5 | 95.1 | 76.7 | 78.5 | 133.7 | 121.4 | 108.4 |
62 | 63.8 | 79 | 85.5 | 94.4 | 76 | 79.8 | 139.5 | 121.4 | 108.6 |
63 | 63.8 | 79 | 86.1 | 94 | 75.9 | 80.9 | 139.5 | 121.4 | 106.7 |
64 | 63.8 | 78.6 | 85.9 | 94.2 | 73.7 | 80.9 | 139.5 | 120.1 | 107 |
65 | 65.3 | 79.3 | 86.5 | 94.6 | 73.7 | 80.9 | 152.4 | 119.7 | 107.1 |
66 | 65.7 | 79.1 | 86.6 | 94 | 73.7 | 82.9 | 153.5 | 116.4 | 107.1 |
67 | 65.7 | 77.8 | 86.9 | 94 | 69.2 | 81.9 | 164.8 | 115.2 | 107.1 |
68 | 67 | 76.9 | 86.9 | 94 | 70 | 80.7 | 147.7 | 112.2 | 107.1 |
69 | 67 | 76.9 | 86.9 | 94 | 71.5 | 80.8 | 140.1 | 112.2 | 105.8 |
70 | 67 | 76.9 | 87.6 | 93.8 | 70 | 81.9 | 140.1 | 112.2 | 106.7 |
71 | 66.9 | 76 | 87.2 | 92.8 | 70.8 | 81.9 | 140.1 | 113.8 | 107.3 |
72 | 66.1 | 75.8 | 87.5 | 92.3 | 70.8 | 81.9 | 135.7 | 113 | 108.2 |
73 | 65.5 | 75.9 | 87.3 | 92.1 | 70.8 | 80.8 | 130.3 | 112 | 108.1 |
74 | 65.7 | 76 | 87.9 | 92.1 | 68.6 | 80.5 | 128 | 109 | 108.1 |
75 | 67 | 75.6 | 87.9 | 92.1 | 68.6 | 80.6 | 131.4 | 111.6 | 108.1 |
76 | 67.2 | 75.6 | 87.9 | 91.6 | 67.8 | 79.5 | 138.9 | 111.6 | 109.8 |
77 | 67.2 | 75.6 | 88.2 | 91.8 | 66.8 | 78.3 | 138.9 | 111.6 | 110.6 |
78 | 67.2 | 75.6 | 89.3 | 92.1 | 68.8 | 78.3 | 138.9 | 111.8 | 108.7 |
79 | 66.4 | 75.8 | 89.4 | 91.9 | 68.8 | 78.4 | 144.8 | 110.9 | 108.8 |
80 | 67.7 | 75 | 89.7 | 91.2 | 68.8 | 78 | 150.5 | 112 | 109.3 |
81 | 67.3 | 75.1 | 90.5 | 91.2 | 65.9 | 78 | 153.2 | 110.9 | 109.3 |
82 | 66.6 | 74.8 | 90.1 | 91.2 | 66.5 | 77.9 | 155.3 | 110.4 | 109.3 |
83 | 66.6 | 74.8 | 90.1 | 90.6 | 67.4 | 78.2 | 151.5 | 110.4 | 110.1 |
84 | 66.6 | 74.8 | 90.5 | 91.1 | 66.5 | 78.1 | 151.5 | 110.4 | 110.5 |
85 | 66.6 | 74.6 | 92.3 | 91.4 | 65.5 | 78.1 | 151.5 | 110.3 | 110 |
86 | 66.6 | 75 | 92 | 91 | 65.5 | 78.1 | 148.3 | 111.6 | 110.5 |
87 | 65.8 | 75.8 | 92.2 | 91.2 | 65.5 | 78.4 | 144.5 | 111 | 110.5 |
88 | 65.5 | 76.7 | 92.2 | 91.2 | 65.3 | 78.9 | 140.6 | 109.1 | 110.5 |
89 | 65 | 76.7 | 92.2 | 91.2 | 65.1 | 79.1 | 137.3 | 109.1 | 110.5 |
90 | 65.2 | 77.1 | 92.2 | 91.8 | 63.4 | 78.2 | 136.1 | 109.1 | 110.5 |
91 | 65.2 | 77.1 | 92.2 | 92.4 | 63.5 | 78.2 | 136.1 | 109.1 | 111.9 |
92 | 65.2 | 77.4 | 92.2 | 93 | 64.6 | 78.2 | 136.1 | 112.6 | 113.6 |
93 | 63.4 | 77.1 | 89.8 | 92.6 | 64.6 | 78.2 | 138.8 | 110.9 | 114.3 |
94 | 61.2 | 78.4 | 90 | 93 | 64.6 | 78.2 | 139.6 | 110.4 | 114.8 |
95 | 61.5 | 78.4 | 89.5 | 93 | 66.8 | 78 | 135.3 | 110.4 | 114.8 |
96 | 63.4 | 79.1 | 89.5 | 93 | 65.8 | 77.7 | 133.4 | 110.4 | 114.8 |
97 | 63.5 | 79.1 | 89.5 | 94 | 65.2 | 77.7 | 129.6 | 110.4 | 114.1 |
98 | 63.5 | 79.1 | 89.1 | 94 | 65.4 | 77.8 | 129.6 | 110.4 | 113.2 |
99 | 63.5 | 79.4 | 90.5 | 94 | 65.4 | 77.8 | 129.6 | 110.4 | 112.6 |
100 | 64.3 | 79.8 | 91.2 | 94.9 | 65.4 | 77.8 | 132.7 | 109.2 | 112.5 |
101 | 65.2 | 80.4 | 92.3 | 94.7 | 65.4 | 77.7 | 135.4 | 109.2 | 113.3 |
102 | 66.6 | 80 | 92.3 | 94.7 | 65.4 | 78.3 | 137.5 | 109.2 | 113.3 |
103 | 66.7 | 80 | 92.3 | 94.7 | 64.3 | 79.6 | 139.2 | 108 | 113.3 |
104 | 67.4 | 80 | 92.3 | 94.6 | 63.1 | 79.9 | 145.3 | 108 | 112.3 |
105 | 67.4 | 80 | 92.3 | 94.6 | 62.7 | 80.3 | 145.3 | 108 | 112.1 |
106 | 67.4 | 80 | 91.7 | 95.6 | 65.1 | 80.3 | 145.3 | 108 | 111.1 |
107 | 65.4 | 79.7 | 91.8 | 95.8 | 65.1 | 80.3 | 145.3 | 107.4 | 108.5 |
108 | 67.3 | 79.2 | 92.7 | 95.8 | 65.1 | 79.9 | 145.3 | 106.7 | 108.6 |
109 | 67.1 | 78.1 | 93.2 | 95.8 | 63.7 | 80.2 | 142.2 | 105.1 | 108.6 |
110 | 69.6 | 78 | 93.2 | 95.8 | 64 | 79.5 | 141.8 | 104.8 | 108.6 |
111 | 69.2 | 78 | 93.2 | 95.8 | 59.3 | 78.9 | 142.5 | 104.8 | 107.3 |
112 | 69.2 | 78 | 93.5 | 97.7 | 62.8 | 79.5 | 142.5 | 104.8 | 108.6 |
113 | 69.2 | 77.3 | 94.4 | 97.9 | 62.3 | 79.5 | 142.5 | 104.6 | 109.3 |
114 | 69.1 | 77 | 93.7 | 97.7 | 62.3 | 79.5 | 139 | 104.9 | 109 |
115 | 69 | 77 | 94.2 | 97.4 | 62.3 | 79.3 | 141.7 | 103.3 | 109.4 |
116 | 69 | 76.6 | 94.8 | 97.4 | 60 | 79.9 | 143.9 | 101.4 | 109.4 |
117 | 69.9 | 75.9 | 94.8 | 97.4 | 60 | 80.6 | 145.9 | 100.9 | 109.4 |
118 | 70.5 | 75.9 | 94.8 | 95.4 | 60.5 | 80.6 | 150 | 100.9 | 109.2 |
119 | 71.1 | 75.9 | 94.4 | 96 | 62.7 | 80.9 | 150 | 100.9 | 108.6 |
120 | 71.1 | 75.1 | 95.4 | 96.5 | 64.7 | 80.9 | 150 | 101.2 | 108.4 |
121 | 71.1 | 75.1 | 94.2 | 97 | 64.7 | 80.9 | 152 | 101.6 | 106.4 |
122 | 70 | 74.6 | 94.2 | 96.4 | 64.7 | 81.2 | 155.2 | 98.1 | 105.8 |
123 | 69.3 | 74.6 | 94 | 96.4 | 61.7 | 82.1 | 152 | 99.7 | 105.8 |
124 | 68.7 | 72.8 | 96.2 | 96.4 | 62.8 | 81.5 | 148.7 | 99.7 | 105.8 |
125 | 69 | 72.8 | 96.3 | 95.6 | 63.3 | 81.3 | 147.8 | 99.7 | 105.9 |
126 | 68.7 | 72.8 | 96 | 96.7 | 62 | 81.3 | 147.8 | 99.7 | 106.3 |
127 | 68.7 | 73.2 | 97 | 96.5 | 62.3 | 81.3 | 147.8 | 100.2 | 105.9 |
128 | 68.7 | 74.2 | 97.3 | 95.3 | 62.3 | 81.3 | 146.3 | 100.1 | 105.9 |
129 | 69.2 | 74.2 | 97 | 95.5 | 62.3 | 81.5 | 140.3 | 100.6 | 107.7 |
130 | 68.2 | 75.6 | 96.9 | 95.5 | 62 | 81 | 146.4 | 101.7 | 107.7 |
131 | 69.4 | 75.7 | 96.9 | 95.5 | 62.3 | 81.9 | 142.6 | 99.5 | 107.7 |
132 | 71.2 | 75.7 | 96.9 | 95.6 | 61.7 | 81.9 | 143.1 | 99.5 | 106.4 |
133 | 71 | 75.7 | 96.9 | 94.9 | 61.5 | 80.5 | 143.1 | 99.5 | 106.3 |
134 | 71 | 76.4 | 97.5 | 95.1 | 63.1 | 80.5 | 143.1 | 100.1 | |
135 | 71 | 75.6 | 98.2 | 96 | 63.1 | 80.5 | 141.3 | 100.7 | |
136 | 71 | 75 | 97.5 | 97.6 | 63.1 | 81.3 | 141.3 | 101.2 | |
137 | 72.9 | 75.4 | 98.6 | 97.6 | 64.3 | 82 | 140.6 | 101.2 | |
138 | 73.8 | 76.4 | 98.7 | 97.6 | 65.1 | 81.1 | 136.1 | 102.6 | |
139 | 73 | 76.4 | 98.7 | 97.5 | 63.8 | 80.8 | 137.2 | 102.6 | |
140 | 73 | 76.4 | 98.7 | 95.5 | 63.8 | 79.4 | 137.2 | 102.6 | |
141 | 73 | 76.6 | 98.9 | 95.5 | 63.5 | 79.4 | 137.2 | 100.5 | |
142 | 73 | 76.6 | 97.9 | 94.5 | 63.5 | 79.4 | 136.8 | 101.1 | |
143 | 73.4 | 77.2 | 97.8 | 92.6 | 63.5 | 79.4 | 135.3 | 101.8 | |
144 | 73.4 | 77.2 | 97.7 | 92.6 | 64.6 | 81.4 | 139.3 | 101.8 | |
145 | 75 | 75.3 | 97 | 92.6 | 65.4 | 81.3 | 139.3 | 100.7 | |
146 | 75 | 75.3 | 97 | 92.6 | 63.9 | 81.4 | 143.6 | 100.7 | |
147 | 74.2 | 75.3 | 96.1 | 93.3 | 63.7 | 81.9 | 143.6 | 100.7 | |
148 | 74.2 | 75.4 | 95.8 | 92.7 | 62.8 | 81.9 | 143.6 | 100.7 | |
149 | 74.2 | 75.2 | 96.5 | 92.7 | 62.8 | 81.9 | 143.9 | 100 | |
150 | 74.4 | 75.2 | 96.5 | 92.7 | 62.8 | 81.7 | 148.3 | 99.7 | |
151 | 74.6 | 74.6 | 96.4 | 90.8 | 62.8 | 82.8 | 148.6 | 100.3 | |
152 | 74.4 | 73.2 | 96.4 | 90.8 | 64.4 | 83.5 | 148.7 | 101.9 | |
153 | 74.4 | 73.2 | 96.4 | 88.6 | 65.2 | 83.5 | 152.2 | 101.9 | |
154 | 74.6 | 73.2 | 95.8 | 87.2 | 64.2 | 83.5 | 152.2 | 101.9 | |
155 | 74.6 | 73.2 | 95.1 | 87.2 | 64.5 | 83.5 | 152.2 | 103.3 | |
156 | 74.6 | 72.7 | 95.1 | 86.7 | 64.5 | 83.5 | 152.2 | 102.8 | |
157 | 73.9 | 72.6 | 94.7 | 87.2 | 64.5 | 83.3 | 158.6 | 102.9 | |
158 | 73.7 | 71.8 | 95.1 | 87.2 | 67.3 | 82.2 | 157.2 | 104 | |
159 | 73.5 | 71.8 | 95.1 | 87.2 | 65.6 | 82.9 | 158.1 | 102.4 | |
160 | 75.4 | 71.8 | 95.1 | 87.2 | 65.7 | 82.5 | 159 | 102.4 | |
161 | 74.4 | 71.8 | 94.9 | 87.2 | 65.4 | 83 | 159 | 102.4 | |
162 | 74.4 | 71.8 | 95.3 | 86.9 | 64.3 | 83 | 159 | 101.9 | |
163 | 74.4 | 72.1 | 94.9 | 87.2 | 64.3 | 83 | 159 | 103 | |
164 | 73.7 | 72.5 | 95.3 | 87.5 | 64.3 | 83.5 | 158.2 | 103.7 | |
165 | 73.3 | 72.1 | 95.5 | 87.5 | 64.3 | 83.7 | 160.4 | 103.4 | |
166 | 73 | 72.2 | 95.5 | 87.5 | 65.4 | 84.2 | 160.4 | 106.2 | |
167 | 72.4 | 72.2 | 95.5 | 88.1 | 66.7 | 84.5 | 160.5 | 106.2 | |
168 | 72.4 | 72.2 | 93.1 | 87 | 66.5 | 84 | 160.5 | 106.2 | |
169 | 72.4 | 72.3 | 94.4 | 88.2 | 67.3 | 84 | 160.5 | 106.8 | |
170 | 72.4 | 72.7 | 94.6 | 88.5 | 67.3 | 84 | 156.2 | 107.2 | |
171 | 73.2 | 72 | 93.7 | 89.4 | 67.3 | 84.8 | 160.5 | 106.6 | |
172 | 73.8 | 71.2 | 93.3 | 89.4 | 67.3 | 85.3 | 156.2 | 106.3 | |
173 | 74.1 | 71.3 | 93.3 | 89.4 | 67.3 | 85.6 | 157.9 | 104.4 | |
174 | 74.1 | 71.3 | 93.3 | 90.6 | 67.9 | 85.5 | 155.7 | 104.4 | |
175 | 73.1 | 71.3 | 94 | 89.9 | 65.5 | 85.5 | 155.7 | 104.4 | |
176 | 72.9 | 71.8 | 94.1 | 91.2 | 66 | 85.5 | 155.7 | 104.6 | |
177 | 72.9 | 72 | 95 | 91.6 | 66 | 85.5 | 155 | 105 | |
178 | 72.9 | 71.8 | 96.7 | 90.9 | 66 | 85.7 | 152.9 | 103.8 | |
179 | 72.9 | 72.9 | 96.4 | 90.9 | 65.1 | 84.8 | 149.5 | 104.2 | |
180 | 72.4 | 73 | 96.5 | 90.9 | 65.1 | 85.1 | 147.6 | 104.7 | |
181 | 73.3 | 72.6 | 96.5 | 91.9 | 66.7 | 86.6 | 147.2 | 104.7 | |
182 | 73.5 | 73 | 96.5 | 90.5 | 66.8 | 85.9 | 147.2 | 104.7 | |
183 | 72.9 | 74 | 96.3 | 89.4 | 67.3 | 85.9 | 147.2 | 104.4 | |
184 | 72.9 | 74.4 | 96.5 | 88.9 | 67.3 | 85.9 | 149 | 104.6 | |
185 | 72.9 | 74.6 | 96.3 | 88.9 | 67.3 | 86.5 | 151.2 | 105.3 | |
186 | 73.3 | 74.1 | 96.4 | 88.9 | 67.7 | 86.9 | 144.6 | 105.9 | |
187 | 72.3 | 74 | 96.4 | 88.9 | 67.4 | 85.7 | 140.6 | 106.7 | |
188 | 71.4 | 74 | 96.4 | 89.7 | 67.4 | 84.5 | 147 | 106.7 | |
189 | 72.7 | 74 | 95.9 | 89.6 | 67.3 | 84.9 | 147 | 106.7 | |
190 | 70.7 | 72.9 | 96.7 | 90.1 | 66.8 | 84.9 | 147 | 107.2 | |
191 | 70.7 | 73.3 | 96.9 | 92.4 | 66.8 | 84.9 | 149.1 | 107.1 | |
192 | 70.7 | 73.9 | 94.7 | 92 | 66.8 | 85.3 | 150.1 | 107.4 | |
193 | 70.4 | 73.3 | 94.9 | 92 | 67.3 | 86.1 | 149.5 | 106.5 | |
194 | 71 | 74.2 | 94.9 | 92 | 66.8 | 86.3 | 148.7 | 106.4 | |
195 | 71.6 | 74.2 | 94.9 | 91.4 | 66.7 | 84.8 | 151.2 | 106.4 | |
196 | 70 | 74.2 | 95.1 | 90.6 | 67.3 | 84.8 | 151.2 | 106.4 | |
197 | 69.6 | 74.7 | 92.8 | 89.8 | 67.1 | 84.8 | 151.2 | 106.2 | |
198 | 69.6 | 74.1 | 93.7 | 90 | 67.1 | 84.8 | 153.4 | 106 | |
199 | 69.6 | 74.3 | 94.4 | 89.3 | 67.1 | 84 | 154.3 | 107.1 | |
200 | 70.2 | 75.5 | 94.6 | 88.9 | 66.5 | 83.1 | 153.3 | 109.5 | |
201 | 70.2 | 75.5 | 94.6 | 88.9 | 67.6 | 82.2 | 153.3 | 110.1 | |
202 | 70.6 | 75.5 | 94.6 | 89.7 | 68.3 | 84.3 | 152.3 | 110.1 | |
203 | 70.9 | 75.5 | 94.6 | 89.9 | 68.3 | 84.9 | 159.4 | 110.1 | |
204 | 70.1 | 74.3 | 95.3 | 90.6 | 67.1 | 84.9 | 150.2 | 112.7 | |
205 | 70.1 | 74.6 | 96.2 | 90.3 | 67.1 | 84.9 | 159.4 | 111.9 | |
206 | 70.1 | 75.7 | 96.7 | 90.7 | 67.1 | 84.4 | 159.4 | 110.7 | |
207 | 70.1 | 75.8 | 97 | 90.7 | 67 | 85 | 157.7 | 112.7 | |
208 | 69 | 77 | 97 | 90.7 | 67.2 | 85 | 161.6 | 114.9 | |
209 | 68.9 | 77 | 97 | 90.1 | 66.9 | 85.1 | 159.9 | 114.9 | |
210 | 68.3 | 77 | 96.9 | 90.7 | 66.9 | 85.1 | 159.9 | 114.9 | |
211 | 67.2 | 77 | 96.9 | 90.7 | 65.8 | 85.1 | 159.9 | 116.2 | |
212 | 67.2 | 78.4 | 95.4 | 90.7 | 65.8 | 85.1 | 159.9 | 116.2 | |
213 | 67.2 | 77.3 | 96.7 | 89.7 | 65.8 | 85 | 150.2 | 117.7 | |
214 | 67.2 | 77.9 | 96.7 | 89.7 | 65.9 | 83.8 | 155.6 | 116.2 | |
215 | 65.9 | 76.8 | 96.7 | 89.7 | 66.2 | 83.7 | 157.8 | 116.9 | |
216 | 65.9 | 76.8 | 96.7 | 88.9 | 66.5 | 83 | 152.9 | 116.9 | |
217 | 66.9 | 76.8 | 97 | 88 | 66.6 | 83.5 | 152.9 | 116.9 | |
218 | 67.5 | 76.7 | 97.3 | 87.1 | 66.3 | 83.5 | 152.9 | 116.1 | |
219 | 67.5 | 76.8 | 97.6 | 85.9 | 66.3 | 83.5 | 149.8 | 113.6 | |
220 | 67.5 | 76.1 | 96 | 86.1 | 66.3 | 82.4 | 149.8 | 117.6 | |
221 | 68.3 | 76.7 | 96.6 | 86.1 | 66.1 | 82.8 | 154.3 | 119.9 | |
222 | 69 | 75.7 | 96.6 | 86.1 | 66.5 | 83 | 154.8 | 117.8 | |
223 | 68.7 | 75.7 | 96.6 | 87 | 66.8 | 83.9 | 156.9 | 117.8 | |
224 | 68 | 75.7 | 96.5 | 86.8 | 66.5 | 83.8 | 156.9 | 117.8 | |
225 | 70.2 | 76 | 96.4 | 89 | 66.5 | 83.8 | 156.9 | 116.6 | |
226 | 71.3 | 76 | 96.4 | 88.2 | 66.5 | 83.8 | 156.5 | 115.7 | |
227 | 71.5 | 75.7 | 96.6 | 87.9 | 66.5 | 82.3 | 155.3 | 114.8 | |
228 | 71.5 | 74.5 | 94.7 | 87.9 | 66.6 | 82 | 156.2 | 115.8 | |
229 | 71.5 | 74.1 | 95.1 | 87.9 | 66.5 | 82.3 | 159.4 | 116.6 | |
230 | 72.5 | 74.1 | 95 | 88.2 | 66.5 | 82.8 | 159.1 | 116.6 | |
231 | 73.1 | 74.1 | 95.2 | 88.2 | 66.5 | 80.8 | 159.1 | 116.6 | |
232 | 73.1 | 75.7 | 96.4 | 88.2 | 66.1 | 80.8 | 159.1 | 117.8 | |
233 | 73.1 | 75.4 | 96.6 | 88.2 | 66.1 | 80.8 | 160.5 | 115.9 | |
234 | 72.9 | 75.4 | 97.2 | 88.1 | 66.1 | 80.8 | 161.7 | 116.9 | |
235 | 71.9 | 76.4 | 97.6 | 88.1 | 66 | 82.4 | 161.4 | 116.6 | |
236 | 72.3 | 76.7 | 97.6 | 88.1 | 66.7 | 83.5 | 164.4 | 118.3 | |
237 | 72.4 | 76.7 | 97.6 | 87 | 66.8 | 84.2 | 162 | 118.8 | |
238 | 72.8 | 76.7 | 97.8 | 87 | 66.5 | 84.5 | 162 | 118.8 | |
239 | 72.8 | 76.3 | 97.9 | 88 | 65.4 | 84.5 | 162 | 121 | |
240 | 72.8 | 75.6 | 97.6 | 88.4 | 65.4 | 85.5 | 161.9 | 119.3 | |
241 | 72.9 | 76.8 | 98.7 | 89.3 | 65.4 | 84.9 | 160.8 | 118.4 | |
242 | 73.2 | 76.8 | 98.7 | 89.3 | 65.9 | 85.1 | 155.6 | 115.4 | |
243 | 72.5 | 78.6 | 99.4 | 88.6 | 65.3 | 85.3 | 149.9 | 117.2 | |
244 | 71.4 | 78.6 | 100 | 88.6 | 65.7 | 85 | 149.9 | 117.2 | |
245 | 70.1 | 78.6 | 99.4 | 87.8 | 64.4 | 85.9 | 149.9 | 117.2 | |
246 | 70.1 | 78.5 | 100.3 | 88.1 | 63.5 | 85.9 | 149.9 | 117 | |
247 | 70.1 | 78.5 | 99 | 89.1 | 63.5 | 85.9 | 157.6 | 119.3 | |
248 | 71.6 | 79.3 | 98.8 | 89.3 | 63.5 | 85.1 | 154.9 | 120.7 | |
249 | 71.5 | 79.6 | 97.6 | 89.3 | 62.9 | 85.3 | 151.3 | 120 | |
250 | 70.9 | 79.8 | 97.6 | 89.3 | 62.7 | 85.2 | 149.5 | 120 | |
251 | 72.5 | 79.8 | 97.6 | 90.7 | 61.9 | 85.3 | 147.2 | 120 | |
252 | 71.4 | 79.8 | 98.6 | 90.7 | 62.3 | 85.1 | 147.2 | 120 | |
253 | 72 | 78.7 | 98.6 | 91.1 | 61.8 | 85.1 | 147.2 | 125.2 | |
254 | 71.6 | 78.7 | 99.4 | 90 | 61.8 | 85.1 | 145.5 | 124.3 | |
255 | 70.5 | 78.5 | 99.4 | 90 | 61.8 | 86.2 | 142.9 | 125.3 | |
256 | 70.5 | 80 | 98.6 | 90 | 62 | 86.7 | 136.7 | 125.8 | |
257 | 70.5 | 80 | 98.6 | 90 | 62 | 86.9 | 132.3 | 127.1 | |
258 | 70.6 | 80 | 98.6 | 93.8 | 62.7 | 87.7 | 129.7 | 127.1 | |
259 | 72 | 80 | 98.6 | 95.4 | 62.6 | 88.1 | 129.7 | 127.1 | |
260 | 71.3 | 80.1 | 97.8 | 93.5 | 64.2 | 88.1 | 129.7 | 124.9 | |
261 | 71.3 | 80.1 | 99.3 | 93 | 64.2 | 88.1 | 131.3 | 123.1 | |
262 | 71.3 | 79.8 | 100 | 93.6 | 64.2 | 88.1 | 134.8 | 122.2 | |
263 | 71 | 80.7 | 99.2 | 93.6 | 64.2 | 87.5 | 138.4 | 125.4 | |
264 | 72.1 | 81.2 | 99.2 | 93.6 | 63.2 | 87.6 | 142.6 | 124.7 | |
265 | 72.1 | 81.2 | 99.2 | 93.4 | 63.2 | 88.7 | 139.5 | 124.7 | |
266 | 71.4 | 81.2 | 99.3 | 92.5 | 63.5 | 89.5 | 139.5 | 124.7 | |
267 | 71.7 | 81.3 | 101.6 | 91 | 64.1 | 89.5 | 139.5 | 124.7 | |
268 | 71.7 | 81.8 | 102.2 | 91.3 | 64.1 | 89.5 | 136.7 | 122.2 | |
269 | 71.7 | 82 | 103 | 91.4 | 64.1 | 90.9 | 137.6 | 124 | |
270 | 72 | 81.9 | 103.6 | 91.4 | 64.1 | 91.6 | 138.7 | 126.1 | |
271 | 71.2 | 81.8 | 103.6 | 91.4 | 64.4 | 90.3 | 139.6 | 125.6 | |
272 | 72.5 | 81.8 | 103.6 | 91.6 | 63.2 | 91.8 | 138.5 | 125.6 | |
273 | 73.9 | 81.8 | 104.9 | 90.9 | 64.3 | 91.9 | 138.5 | 125.6 | |
274 | 73.9 | 81.4 | 106.3 | 90.7 | 62.8 | 91.9 | 138.5 | 125.6 | |
275 | 74.6 | 80 | 106.7 | 89.5 | 62.8 | 91.9 | 142.1 | 124.8 | |
276 | 75 | 79.4 | 107.9 | 89.8 | 62.8 | 94.2 | 146.4 | 121.7 | |
277 | 76 | 80 | 107.6 | 89.8 | 63.1 | 95.6 | 149.6 | 117.2 | |
278 | 76.3 | 80.2 | 107.6 | 89.8 | 63.4 | 96.5 | 151.6 | 116.5 | |
279 | 77.2 | 80.2 | 107.6 | 89.8 | 64.5 | 94.2 | 156.3 | 116.5 | |
280 | 77.2 | 80.2 | 107.4 | 89.8 | 64.3 | 95.8 | 156.3 | 116.5 | |
281 | 77.2 | 79.5 | 108 | 89 | 65.3 | 95.8 | 156.3 | 119.9 | |
282 | 76.7 | 79.4 | 108.4 | 89.7 | 64.8 | 95.8 | 159.5 | 118.8 | |
283 | 77.9 | 80 | 106.7 | 90.5 | 64.8 | 97.7 | 153.6 | 121.5 | |
284 | 78 | 79.7 | 107 | 90.5 | 64.8 | 97.3 | 153.4 | 123.1 | |
285 | 77.4 | 79.7 | 107 | 90.5 | 64.4 | 97.4 | 158.9 | 126.3 | |
286 | 78.4 | 79.7 | 107 | 89.9 | 64.3 | 97.8 | 158.1 | 126.3 | |
287 | 78.4 | 79.7 | 107.1 | 88.9 | 64.9 | 99.1 | 158.1 | 126.3 | |
288 | 78.4 | 82.2 | 107.8 | 89.2 | 64.8 | 99.1 | 158.1 | 127 | |
289 | 78.2 | 82 | 108.1 | 89.1 | 64.8 | 99.1 | 155.8 | 124.9 | |
290 | 78.3 | 82.3 | 109.6 | 89.1 | 64.8 | 99.5 | 157.5 | 124.1 | |
291 | 79 | 81.3 | 111 | 89.1 | 64.8 | 98.8 | 154 | 123.1 | |
292 | 78.8 | 81.4 | 111 | 89.1 | 63.9 | 98.6 | 154.4 | 123.6 | |
293 | 78.5 | 81.3 | 111 | 89.1 | 64 | 98.1 | 150.2 | 123.6 | |
294 | 78.5 | 81.3 | 111.4 | 88.7 | 63.5 | 97.6 | 150.2 | 123.6 | |
295 | 78.5 | 81.3 | 112.1 | 88.9 | 64.2 | 97.6 | 150.2 | 123.5 | |
296 | 78.8 | 81.8 | 110.2 | 89.2 | 62.6 | 97.6 | 151.2 | 122.5 | |
297 | 79.3 | 82.1 | 110.2 | 89.9 | 62.9 | 98 | 150.8 | 120.5 | |
298 | 78.4 | 82 | 109 | 89.9 | 62.8 | 98.2 | 148.6 | 120 | |
299 | 77.9 | 83.1 | 109 | 89.9 | 62.9 | 97.7 | 154.7 | 120.5 | |
300 | 77.9 | 83.5 | 109 | 89.8 | 62.8 | 96.8 | 156.3 | 120.5 | |
301 | 77.9 | 83.8 | 109.9 | 89.2 | 62.4 | 95.9 | 156.3 | 120.5 | |
302 | 77.9 | 83.8 | 109.3 | 89.2 | 61.6 | 95.9 | 156.3 | 119 | |
303 | 77.9 | 83.8 | 109.3 | 88.1 | 61.6 | 95.9 | 154.2 | 117.8 | |
304 | 76.6 | 85.1 | 109.8 | 87.2 | 61.6 | 96.5 | 146.6 | 119.7 | |
305 | 74.6 | 84.4 | 108.6 | 87.2 | 61.4 | 96.2 | 142.3 | 120.3 | |
306 | 73.2 | 84.2 | 108.6 | 87.2 | 62.8 | 94.7 | 146.4 | 120.3 | |
307 | 73.4 | 84.2 | 108.6 | 89.4 | 63.4 | 95.3 | 151.1 | 120.3 | |
308 | 73.4 | 84.2 | 106 | 89.2 | 63.3 | 94.2 | 151.1 | 120.3 | |
309 | 73.4 | 86.1 | 105.6 | 88.6 | 62.8 | 94.2 | 151.1 | 118.2 | |
310 | 73.4 | 86.7 | 105.2 | 88.6 | 62.8 | 94.2 | 146.3 | 117.5 | |
311 | 72.8 | 86.1 | 106.3 | 87.8 | 62.8 | 95.9 | 143.4 | 115.6 | |
312 | 72.3 | 86.3 | 103.7 | 87.8 | 63 | 96.7 | 140.7 | 113.2 | |
313 | 72.8 | 86.7 | 103.7 | 87.8 | 65.3 | 97.7 | 137.6 | 113.2 | |
314 | 72.1 | 86.7 | 103.7 | 87.9 | 66.2 | 97.2 | 137.1 | 113.2 | |
315 | 72.1 | 86.7 | 106.4 | 88.1 | 66.2 | 96 | 137.1 | 113.2 | |
316 | 72.1 | 85.6 | 106.4 | 87 | 65.2 | 96 | 137.1 | 112.7 | |
317 | 71.8 | 84.5 | 106.4 | 88.1 | 65.3 | 96 | 135.2 | 114.8 | |
318 | 71.9 | 84.7 | 104 | 88.3 | 65.3 | 94.4 | 132.8 | 114.3 | |
319 | 73.4 | 84.7 | 103.9 | 88.3 | 65.3 | 96.5 | 135.2 | 114.3 | |
320 | 72.7 | 84.8 | 103.9 | 88.3 | 65.5 | 96 | 135.4 | 112.7 | |
321 | 73 | 84.8 | 103.9 | 89.2 | 65.5 | 96.8 | 134.1 | 112.7 | |
322 | 73 | 84.8 | 103.7 | 88 | 66.1 | 99.3 | 134.1 | 112.7 | |
323 | 73 | 85.6 | 103 | 87 | 66.5 | 99.3 | 134.1 | 113.5 | |
324 | 74.3 | 85.6 | 103 | 88.1 | 66.5 | 99.3 | 134.1 | 113.7 | |
325 | 75.9 | 86 | 100.7 | 89.8 | 66.5 | 99.3 | 132.5 | 114.2 | |
326 | 75.5 | 85.1 | 100.2 | 89.8 | 66.8 | 96 | 131.3 | 114.6 | |
327 | 75.1 | 85.5 | 100.2 | 89.8 | 68.4 | 97.5 | 128.2 | 114.5 | |
328 | 75.1 | 85.5 | 100.2 | 89.9 | 69.3 | 97.2 | 129.2 | 114.5 | |
329 | 75.1 | 85.4 | 99.2 | 90.3 | 68.6 | 94 | 129.2 | 114.5 | |
330 | 75.1 | 85.2 | 99.2 | 90.7 | 68.6 | 94 | 129.2 | 113.2 | |
331 | 74.1 | 85.8 | 99.5 | 90.1 | 68.6 | 94 | 125.8 | 113.7 | |
332 | 74.8 | 85.5 | 96.6 | 90.5 | 68.6 | 94 | 126.9 | 113.3 | |
333 | 75.5 | 85.4 | 96.8 | 90.5 | 68.3 | 89.2 | 129.9 | 113.7 | |
334 | 76.9 | 84.7 | 96.8 | 90.5 | 69.3 | 90.3 | 130.4 | 111.2 | |
335 | 78.6 | 84.7 | 96.8 | 88.7 | 68.2 | 89.7 | 129.2 | 111.2 | |
336 | 78.6 | 84.7 | 98.4 | 88.3 | 68.8 | 90.9 | 129.2 | 111.2 | |
337 | 78.6 | 85.4 | 94.4 | 87.9 | 69.5 | 90.9 | 129.2 | 109.9 | |
338 | 79.3 | 84.8 | 92.2 | 88.9 | 69.5 | 90.9 | 128.5 | 110.2 | |
339 | 78.8 | 84.8 | 90.9 | 89.4 | 69.5 | 90.9 | 124.6 | 109.9 | |
340 | 78.3 | 86.3 | 89.6 | 89.4 | 69.3 | 92 | 121.1 | 109.1 | |
341 | 78.3 | 86.3 | 90.3 | 89.4 | 69 | 98.7 | 120 | 109.5 | |
342 | 78.3 | 86.3 | 88.7 | 90 | 69.5 | 98.6 | 120.3 | 109.5 | |
343 | 79.3 | 87.8 | 88.7 | 89.4 | 70.7 | 97.8 | 120.3 | 109.5 | |
344 | 79.3 | 87.8 | 89.1 | 89.6 | 70 | 97.8 | 120.3 | 110.1 | |
345 | 79.3 | 88.9 | 89.7 | 89.1 | 70 | 97.8 | 124.6 | 107.7 | |
346 | 81.4 | 90.4 | 89.7 | 90 | 70 | 98.8 | 125.2 | 106.1 | |
347 | 80.7 | 89.3 | 89.6 | 90 | 70.5 | 98.8 | 127.6 | 107.7 | |
348 | 80.8 | 89 | 89.4 | 90 | 70.7 | 98.1 | 129.8 | 108.4 | |
349 | 80.9 | 89 | 87.8 | 91.1 | 70.5 | 99.1 | 129.1 | 108.4 | |
350 | 80.9 | 89 | 89.4 | 91.1 | 70.5 | 99.8 | 129.1 | 108.4 | |
351 | 80.9 | 89 | 87.8 | 91.6 | 70.7 | 99.8 | 129.1 | 108.2 | |
352 | 81.5 | 89.1 | 86.5 | 91.2 | 70.7 | 99.8 | 127.5 | 108.8 | |
353 | 81.4 | 89.6 | 86.8 | 91.8 | 70.7 | 96.3 | 124.5 | 109.5 | |
354 | 82.1 | 90 | 85.7 | 91.8 | 70 | 96.8 | 125.3 | 109 | |
355 | 81.3 | 90.3 | 85.7 | 91.8 | 69.7 | 98 | 126.3 | 108.8 | |
356 | 81.8 | 90.3 | 85.7 | 91.4 | 70.2 | 100.6 | 127.2 | 108.8 | |
357 | 81.8 | 90.3 | 85.7 | 91.9 | 70.5 | 100.3 | 127.2 | 108.8 | |
358 | 81.8 | 90.3 | 85.7 | 91.9 | 70.5 | 100.3 | 127.2 | 108.8 | |
359 | 81.5 | 90.3 | 85.7 | 91.9 | 70.5 | 100.3 | 127.2 | 108.8 | |
360 | 82.2 | 91.9 | 85.1 | 92.5 | 70.7 | 98.9 | 129.4 | 107.8 | |
361 | 83.4 | 91.6 | 83.8 | 92.5 | 71.1 | 100.2 | 130.2 | 105 | |
362 | 83.4 | 91.8 | 83.8 | 92.5 | 70.7 | 98.6 | 127.8 | 103.8 | |
363 | 83.5 | 91.8 | 83.8 | 92.3 | 70.7 | 98.6 | 127.6 | 103.8 | |
364 | 83.5 | 91.8 | 83.8 | 92.3 | 70.7 | 98.6 | 127.6 | 103.8 |
En ce début de semaine, les contrats à terme sur le pétrole restent sous pression. Ce sont principalement les préoccupations liées à la demande qui sont à l’origine de l’humeur modérée après que certains membres de la Fed ont de nouveau réfléchi à haute voix à une phase prolongée de taux d’intérêt élevés vendredi.
Il y a une grande incertitude sur le marché quant à savoir si la Fed annoncera son retournement de taux d’intérêt avant l’élection présidentielle de novembre. On espérait récemment une première baisse dès septembre, mais une prolongation de la phase de taux d’intérêt élevés jusqu’à la fin de l’année semble également être au moins dans le domaine du possible.
Pendant ce temps, les acteurs du marché se concentrent de plus en plus sur la réunion de l’OPEP+ le 1er juin. Au cours du week-end, l’Irak a provoqué des troubles car il semblait que le deuxième producteur de l’OPEP ne voulait pas accepter une prolongation des réductions de production. Dans un effort pour limiter les dégâts, l’Irak a assuré peu de temps après qu’il s’engageait à respecter les accords de l’OPEP+ pour réduire la production et qu’il les respecterait.
Toutefois, l’Iraq n’a que récemment attiré à nouveau l’attention négative, car le pays a constamment produit au-delà de ses quotas depuis le début de l’année. Il se pourrait donc bien qu’il y ait plus de conflits à résoudre au sein du groupe le 1er juin que prévu, avant que les réductions de production existantes – comme on le suppose généralement – ne soient prolongées au troisième trimestre.
Le fait que le marché ne soit plus aussi haussier qu’il y a quelques semaines se reflète également clairement dans les écarts de temps, c’est-à-dire la différence entre les premiers mois et les contrats à venir.
Dans l’ensemble, la situation fondamentale du marché est caractérisée par l’incertitude. Ni la prochaine étape de la Fed ni la future politique de production de l’OPEP+ ne peuvent actuellement être prédites aussi facilement. Dans la zone de tension entre les réductions de production, les excédents d’offre, la baisse de la demande et les tensions géopolitiques, le bilan en début de semaine est donc neutre pour l’instant. En ce qui concerne les prix intérieurs, cependant, grâce aux fortes réductions de prix du vendredi, des réductions de prix très nettes par rapport au vendredi matin prévalent aujourd’hui.
D’abord l’approbation du cessez-le-feu par le Hamas, puis la nouvelle offensive dans la bande de Gaza et enfin l’envoi d’une délégation israélienne à de nouvelles négociations – l’augmentation de la volatilité dans les échanges en fin de séance hier et pendant la nuit n’est donc guère surprenante.
Du côté positif, l’offensive à Rafah n’a pas encore entraîné une forte augmentation de la prime de risque sur les bourses du pétrole, mais cela est principalement dû au signal qu’Israël n’abandonne pas les négociations et a envoyé une nouvelle délégation. Si une percée est réalisée, cela risque de peser à nouveau rapidement sur les prix. Si, en revanche, les négociations échouent ou si les tensions entre Israël et d’autres puissances régionales s’intensifient à la suite de la nouvelle offensive, cela fera à nouveau grimper les cotations de l’ICE et du NYMEX.
Du côté de la demande, des nuages sombres se dessinent, l’OPEP étant probablement encore plus motivée à prolonger les réductions de production au début du mois de juin. L’opinion générale sur le marché est que le groupe de producteurs prolongera son accord de réduction au moins pour le troisième trimestre, tandis que certains pays, comme le Kazakhstan et l’Irak, ont promis des réductions plus fortes pour le second semestre de l’année.
Malgré l’offensive à Gaza, les cotations restent inférieures aux plus hauts de la veille, ce qui suggère que le marché n’a pas encore complètement annulé les négociations au Caire. C’est pourquoi nous adoptons ce matin une position fondamentalement neutre. Dans l’intervalle, les prix intérieurs n’ont que légèrement évolué par rapport à hier, bien qu’une tendance légèrement ferme soit encore observée pour le moment.